Scientia Silvae Sinicae ›› 2023, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (12): 1-12.doi: 10.11707/j.1001-7488.LYKX20230172
• Frontier & focus: Response and adaptation of spatial distribution of typical tree species to climate change • Previous Articles Next Articles
Ya Wang1,Junhui Wang1,Fude Wang3,Yifu Liu2,Cancan Tan2,Yanchao Yuan2,Wen Nie2,Jianfeng Liu1,Ermei Chang1,Zirui Jia1,*()
Received:
2023-04-27
Online:
2023-12-25
Published:
2024-01-08
Contact:
Zirui Jia
E-mail:.jiazirui646@163.com
CLC Number:
Ya Wang,Junhui Wang,Fude Wang,Yifu Liu,Cancan Tan,Yanchao Yuan,Wen Nie,Jianfeng Liu,Ermei Chang,Zirui Jia. Simulation of Suitable Distribution Areas of Picea koraiensis in China Since the Last Interglacial and Under Future Climate Scenarios[J]. Scientia Silvae Sinicae, 2023, 59(12): 1-12.
Table 1
Contribution percentage of environmental variables affecting the suitable distribution of P. koraiensis"
代码 Code | 环境变量 Environmental variable | 贡献率 Percent contribution (%) | 排列重要性 Permutation importance (%) |
Bio18 | 最暖季度降水量Precipitation of warmest quarter | 40.6 | 36.3 |
Bio4 | 气温季节性变动系数Temperature seasonality | 28.9 | 5.8 |
Bio15 | 降水量季节性变化Precipitation seasonality | 24.6 | 0.3 |
Bio1 | 年均气温Annual mean temperature | 4 | 1.3 |
Bio17 | 最干季度降水量Precipitation of driest quarter | 1.5 | 55.7 |
Bio3 | 等温性Isothermality | 0.4 | 0.5 |
Table 2
Prediction of suitable area of P. koraiensis under different climate scenarios"
气候情景 Climates scenarios | 总适生区 Total suitable area | 低适生区 Low suitable area | 中适生区 Moderate suitable area | 高适生区 High suitable area | |||||||
面积 Area/104 km2 | 比率 Ratio (%) | 面积 Area/104 km2 | 比率 Ratio (%) | 面积 Area/104 km2 | 比率 Ratio (%) | 面积 Area/104 km2 | 比率 Ratio (%) | ||||
1970—2000 | 133.58 | 100 | 40.93 | 100 | 42.36 | 100 | 50.29 | 100 | |||
LIG | 137.04 | 102.59 | 43.40 | 106.03 | 41.20 | 97.26 | 52.44 | 104.28 | |||
LGM | 140.52 | 105.20 | 46.10 | 112.63 | 40.25 | 95.02 | 54.18 | 107.74 | |||
MH | 134.29 | 100.53 | 40.71 | 99.46 | 41.17 | 97.19 | 52.40 | 104.20 | |||
2050-RCP4.5 | 132.32 | 99.06 | 39.49 | 96.48 | 43.31 | 102.24 | 49.52 | 98.47 | |||
2070-RCP4.5 | 129.41 | 96.88 | 38.74 | 94.65 | 42.91 | 101.30 | 47.76 | 94.97 | |||
2050-RCP8.5 | 130.98 | 98.05 | 39.52 | 96.56 | 43.19 | 101.96 | 48.27 | 95.98 | |||
2070-RCP8.5 | 127.01 | 95.08 | 35.06 | 85.66 | 44.41 | 104.84 | 47.54 | 94.53 |
Table 3
Centroid coordinates and migration distance of suitable growth areas for P. koraiensis in different periods"
物种 Species | 时期 Period | 经度 Longtitude | 纬度 Latitude | 距离 Distance/km | 方向 Direction |
红皮云杉 Picea koraiensis | LIG | 127°1'46.92''E | 46°14'27.38''N | ||
LGM | 127°14'49.34''E | 46°10'54.01''N | 21.62 | 东南Southeast | |
MH | 127°18'54.83''E | 46°15'0.44''N | 8.96 | 东北Northeast | |
CUR | 126°14'28.81''E | 46°6'14.27''N | 104.43 | 西南Southwest | |
RCP4.5-2050s | 127°17'54.03''E | 46°25'2.47''N | 105.72 | 东北Northeast | |
RCP4.5-2070s | 127°3'15.60''E | 46°15'33.81''N | 27.40 | 西南Southwest | |
RCP8.5-2050s | 126°57'0.64''E | 45°49'27.43''N | 72.81 | 东南Southeast | |
RCP8.5-2070s | 127°1'25.55''E | 46°11'31.04''N | 33.56 | 东北Northeast |
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