林业科学 ›› 2025, Vol. 61 ›› Issue (10): 221-235.doi: 10.11707/j.1001-7488.LYKX20240487
• 研究论文 • 上一篇
收稿日期:2024-08-13
出版日期:2025-10-25
发布日期:2025-11-05
通讯作者:
田雨辰
E-mail:yuchen000611@163.com
基金资助:
Hongge Zhu,Yuchen Tian*(
),Wen Ying,Yutong Zhang
Received:2024-08-13
Online:2025-10-25
Published:2025-11-05
Contact:
Yuchen Tian
E-mail:yuchen000611@163.com
摘要:
目的: 森林旅游是重点国有林区引导资源环境可承载特色产业发展的重要手段,兼顾环境保护与经济增长双重目标。分析相关利益主体的动态博弈过程、均衡状态以及最优策略选择和发展模式,探究促进利益主体共谋森林旅游发展的协作机制,为实现重点国有林区整体性保护和资源环境可承载特色产业发展提供理论支持。方法: 通过演化博弈和数值仿真,分析地方政府、文旅企业、森工集团的策略选择与敏感性变化,探讨激励三方共谋森林旅游发展的协作机制。结果: 1) 森林旅游发展的期望均衡与外部资金支持、动态奖补、森林资源有偿使用费及三方主体的成本和收益密切相关。2) 地方政府的动态奖补是促使其他两方积极合作和保护开发的关键,奖励金额需谨慎设定,不能过低以免失去激励效果,也不宜过高以防增加地方财政负担;文旅企业对成本、收益和森林资源有偿使用费的变动敏感性更强,符合市场主体“逐利”特质;森工集团的策略选择主要受成本差影响。3) 需要建立中央财政支持和引导社会资本介入的外部驱动机制,实现对现有主体的统筹管理和压力舒缓。配合由合理的森林资源有偿使用制度和地方政府动态奖补制度构成的内部协调机制,增强协作的公平性和积极性,促进森林旅游可持续发展。结论: 1) 地方政府作为森林旅游发展的政策制定者,注重整体产业发展效益;文旅企业作为市场主体,对自身成本收益有着高度敏感性;森工集团作为森林资源经营主体,注重长期资源保护和可持续发展。2) 推动森林旅游发展达到优势协同模式,应确保地方政府处于资金充沛状态、文旅企业处于优化合作增益状态、森工集团处于服务优化净收益增益状态。3) 构建外部驱动与内部协调相结合的协作机制,能够缓解森林旅游发展的利益主体矛盾,促进主体合作。
中图分类号:
朱洪革,田雨辰,应闻,张宇彤. 重点国有林区森林旅游发展的演化博弈与协作机制[J]. 林业科学, 2025, 61(10): 221-235.
Hongge Zhu,Yuchen Tian,Wen Ying,Yutong Zhang. Evolutionary Game and Cooperation Mechanism of Forest Tourism Development in Key State-Owned Forest Areas[J]. Scientia Silvae Sinicae, 2025, 61(10): 221-235.
表1
地方政府、文旅企业和森工集团三方演化博弈的收益组合"
| 博弈主体 Game subject | 文旅企业 Tourism enterprise | 森工集团Forest industry enterprise | ||
| 保护性开发模式 Protective development model | 传统旅游开发模式 Traditional tourism development model | |||
| 地方政府 Local government | 高力度支持 High strength support | 积极合作 Active cooperation | ||
| 消极合作 Negative cooperation | ||||
| 低力度支持 Low strength support | 积极合作 Active cooperation | |||
| 消极合作 Negative cooperation | ||||
表2
均衡点稳定性分析①"
| 均衡点 Equilibrium point | 特征值 Eigenvalue | 实部符号 Real part symbol | 稳定性 Stability | 条件 Condition |
| (+, +, u) | 不稳定点Unstable point | — | ||
| (u, u, +) | 不稳定点Unstable point | — | ||
| (?, +, u) | 不稳定点Unstable point | — | ||
| (u, u, u) | ESS | Ⅰ | ||
| (?, u, +) | 不稳定点Unstable point | — | ||
| (u, u, u) | 演化稳定点 Evolutionarily stable strategy | Ⅱ | ||
| (?, u, u) | 演化稳定点 Evolutionarily stable strategy | Ⅲ | ||
| (u, u, u) | 演化稳定点 Evolutionarily stable strategy | Ⅳ |
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