林业科学 ›› 2025, Vol. 61 ›› Issue (10): 211-220.doi: 10.11707/j.1001-7488.LYKX20240486
• 研究论文 • 上一篇
收稿日期:2024-08-13
出版日期:2025-10-25
发布日期:2025-11-05
通讯作者:
刘璨
E-mail:sfa1sfa1sfa1@163.com
基金资助:
Hao Liu1,Liangang Zhang2,Can Liu2,3,*(
)
Received:2024-08-13
Online:2025-10-25
Published:2025-11-05
Contact:
Can Liu
E-mail:sfa1sfa1sfa1@163.com
摘要:
目的: 厘清集体林地确权对农户林业生产投入的作用机制,为深化集体林权制度改革提供理论依据。方法: 基于产权安全性假说区分集体林权制度改革前既有林地和改革后新增林地的确权激励差异,充分考虑集体林权制度改革嵌入的社会经济环境变化,利用9省(区)18县(市)3 158个样本农户2003—2021年非平衡面板数据和固定效应模型,估计集体林地确权对农户林业生产投入的影响,并开展动态影响和异质性分析。结果: 1) 集体林地确权激励农户增加林业生产投入,产权叠加的正向效应主要体现在增加林业投资;2) 农户对既有林地的生产投入存在“阿森费尔特沉降”,林业资本投入规避产权风险的意识强于劳动力投入;3) 集体林地确权对农户林业生产投入的影响存在显著的区域和林地规模异质性。结论: 林地产权长期稳定能够有效激励农户增加林业生产投入,需继续强化集体林地确权登记和补漏纠错,因地制宜地实施集体林地承包权延包工作,促进高水平保护和高质量发展的进一步协调,通过机制和模式创新推动集体林适度规模经营。
中图分类号:
刘浩,张连刚,刘璨. 基于产权叠加效应视角的农户林业生产投入[J]. 林业科学, 2025, 61(10): 211-220.
Hao Liu,Liangang Zhang,Can Liu. Farmers’ Forestry Production Input from Perspective of the Property Rights Cumulative Effect[J]. Scientia Silvae Sinicae, 2025, 61(10): 211-220.
表1
主要变量定义及描述性统计①"
| 变量 Variable | 代码 Code | 2003 | 2011 | 2021 |
| 林地面积Forestland area/hm2 | 1.88 (4.05) | 2.66 (4.75) | 2.61 (6.27) | |
| 已发证的林地面积Forestland area (tenure certified)/hm2 | 0.04 (0.43) | 2.19 (4.47) | 2.17 (5.88) | |
| 既有林地面积Existing forestland area/hm2 | 1.75 (4.00) | 1.74 (3.71) | 1.70 (3.87) | |
| 已发证的既有林地面积Existing forestland area (tenure certified)/hm2 | 0.02 (0.22) | 1.54 (3.62) | 1.52 (3.81) | |
| 新增林地面积Newly acquired forestland area/hm2 | 0.13 (0.74) | 0.92 (3.31) | 0.91 (5.10) | |
| 已发证的新增林地面积 Newly acquired forestland area (tenure certified)/hm2 | 0.02 (0.33) | 0.65 (2.89) | 0.65 (4.59) | |
| 林业劳动力投入Forestry labor input/(person·day) | 34.08 (973.98) | 35.56 (76.01) | 17.05 (70.27) | |
| 林业资本投入Forestry capital/yuan | 782.67 (4 568.31) | 863.54 (3 697.36) | 1 276.33 (14 905.27) | |
| 公益林面积比例The ratio of public welfare forest area | 0.03 (0.16) | 0.16 (0.28) | 0.34 (0.43) | |
| 森林保险投保(是=1;否=0) Household has forest insurance (Yes=1; No=0) | 0.00 (0.00) | 0.21 (0.40) | 0.48 (0.50) | |
| 容易获得林木采伐指标(是=1;否=0) Easiness to obtain allowable annual cut (Yes=1; No=0) | 0.00 (0.00) | 0.32 (0.47) | 0.41 (0.38) | |
| 曾获得林权贷款(是=1;否=0) Obtained forestland tenure mortgage loan (Yes=1; No=0) | 0.00 (0.00) | 0.01 (0.12) | 0.02 (0.13) | |
| 劳动力价格指数(2003年=1)Off-farm wage index (2003 = 1) | 1.00 (0.00) | 1.31 (0.28) | 3.22 (0.79) | |
| 央行1年期存款基准利率Annual interest rate (%) | 1.98 (0.00) | 3.25 (0.00) | 1.50 (0.00) | |
| 木材价格指数(2003年=1)Timber price index (2003 = 1) | 1.00 (0.00) | 1.59 (0.34) | 2.13 (0.51) | |
| 户主年龄Age of head of household/a | 44.55 (10.46) | 52.69 (10.50) | 60.21 (10.10) | |
| 户主受教育年限Years of education of head of household/a | 7.18 (2.67) | 7.41 (2.74) | 7.45 (3.33) | |
| 家庭劳动力数量Labor size of household/person | 2.85 (1.23) | 2.84 (1.20) | 1.84 (1.28) | |
| 家庭总收入Total revenue/yuan | 14 969.75 (23 471.60) | 26 809.60 (33 681.72) | 39 013.31 (82 266.85) | |
| 村庄地处山区(是=1;否=0) Village located in the mountainous area (Yes=1; No=0) | 0.57 (0.50) | 0.56 (0.50) | 0.48 (0.50) | |
| 村庄道路已硬化(是=1;否=0) The village roads have been hardened (Yes=1; No=0) | 0.62 (0.48) | 0.73 (0.44) | 1.00 (0.00) | |
| 村庄到县城的距离The distance from the village to county town/km | 34.90 (30.47) | 35.27 (30.87) | 29.76 (26.19) |
表2
新一轮集体林地确权对样本农户林业生产要素投入的影响①"
| 变量 Variable | ln_林业劳动力投入 ln_Forestry labor input/(person·day) | ln_林业资本投入 ln_Forestry capital/yuan | |||||
| Ⅰ | Ⅱ | Ⅲ | Ⅳ | Ⅴ | Ⅵ | ||
| 林地发证比例 Tenure certified ratio of forestland | 0.302*** (0.082) | 0.383*** (0.096) | 0.220** (0.101) | 0.218** (0.120) | |||
| 既有林地发证比例 Tenure certified ratio of existing forestland | 0.368*** (0.096) | 0.305*** (0.122) | |||||
| 新增林地发证比例 Tenure certified ratio of newly acquired forestland | 0.119*** (0.024) | 0.063 (0.050) | |||||
| 森林保险投保 Household has forest insurance | 0.424*** (0.065) | 0.422*** (0.065) | 0.374*** (0.082) | 0.367*** (0.082) | |||
| 容易获得林木采伐指标 Easiness to obtain allowable annual cut | 0.507*** (0.076) | 0.533*** (0.076) | 0.370*** (0.095) | 0.400*** (0.095) | |||
| 曾获得林权贷款 Obtained forestland tenure mortgage loan | 0.436 (0.276) | 0.447 (0.276) | 0.385*** (0.047) | 0.391*** (0.047) | |||
| ln_林业资本投入 ln_Forestry capital | ?0.312*** (0.005) | ?0.313*** (0.005) | ?0.341*** (0.004) | ||||
| ln_林业劳动力投入 ln_Forestry labor input | ?0.493*** (0.008) | ?0.493*** (0.008) | ?0.524*** (0.007) | ||||
| ln_林地面积 ln_Forestland area | 0.118*** (0.014) | 0.164*** (0.035) | 0.071** (0.037) | 0.071* (0.040) | |||
| ln_既有林地面积 ln_Existing area of forestland | 0.134** (0.063) | 0.095* (0.052) | |||||
| ln_新增林地面积 ln_Newly acquired area of forestland | 0.115*** (0.019) | 0.036* (0.020) | |||||
| 生态公益林比例 The ratio of public welfare forest area | ?0.218** (0.092) | ?0.219** (0.092) | ?0.324*** (0.126) | ?0.321** (0.126) | |||
| ln_户主年龄 ln_Age of head of household | 7.443** (3.689) | 7.303** (3.696) | 10.121** (4.494) | 9.593** (4.500) | |||
| ln_户主年龄的平方 Square of ln_Age of head of household | ?1.016** (0.477) | ?0.999** (0.477) | ?1.226** (0.580) | ?1.159** (0.581) | |||
| ln_户主受教育年限 ln_Years of education of head of household | 0.035 (0.026) | 0.036 (0.026) | 0.066** (0.032) | 0.067** (0.032) | |||
| ln_家庭劳动力数 ln_Labor size of household | 0.010 (0.019) | 0.009 (0.019) | |||||
| ln_总收入 ln_Total revenue | 0.253*** (0.022) | 0.253*** (0.022) | |||||
| 村庄地处山区 Village located in the mountainous area | ?0.389** (0.158) | ?0.343** (0.159) | ?0.786*** (0.200) | ?0.724*** (0.200) | |||
| 村庄道路已硬化 The village roads have been hardened | 0.416*** (0.093) | 0.410*** (0.093) | 0.078 (0.117) | 0.053 (0.117) | |||
| ln_所在村到县城的距离 ln_The distance from the village to county town | ?0.156 (0.135) | ?0.165 (0.135) | ?0.251 (0.169) | ?0.264 (0.169) | |||
| 劳动力价格指数 Off-farm wage index | ?0.909*** (0.058) | ?0.916*** (0.058) | ?0.264*** (0.072) | ?0.268*** (0.072) | |||
| 央行1年期存款基准利率 Annual interest rate | 0.055 (0.038) | 0.053 (0.038) | ?0.163*** (0.040) | ?0.172*** (0.043) | |||
| 木材价格指数 Timber price index | 0.108 (0.109) | 0.093 (0.109) | 0.308*** (0.086) | 0.314*** (0.087) | |||
| 时期Period (t) | ?0.107*** (0.004) | ?0.010 (0.013) | ?0.004 (0.013) | ?0.140*** (0.005) | ?0.124*** (0.017) | ?0.119*** (0.017) | |
| 截距Intercept | 0.270 (0.247) | ?13.704** (6.910) | ?11.548* (6.685) | ?0.460*** (0.061) | ?24.334*** (8.819) | ?21.320** (8.972) | |
| 样本数 Observation | 32 600 | 32 600 | 32 600 | 32 600 | 32 600 | 32 600 | |
| R2 | 0.320 | 0.283 | 0.283 | 0.284 | 0.259 | 0.201 | |
表3
既有林地确权发证对样本农户林业劳动力和资本投入的动态影响"
| 变量 Variable | ln_林业劳动力投入 ln_Forestry labor input/(person·day) | ln_林业资本投入 ln_Forestry capital/yuan |
| 既有林地面积×发证前第7年 Existing forestland area × 7th year before the tenure certified | 0.141*** (0.015) | 0.110** (0.040) |
| 既有林地面积×发证前第6年 Existing forestland area × 6th year before the tenure certified | 0.142*** (0.016) | 0.083* (0.050) |
| 既有林地面积×发证前第5年 Existing forestland area × 5th year before the tenure certified | 0.136*** (0.031) | 0.098** (0.046) |
| 既有林地面积×发证前第4年 Existing forestland area × 4th year before the tenure certified | 0.114** (0.052) | 0.084* (0.048) |
| 既有林地面积×发证前第3年 Existing forestland area × 3rd year before the tenure certified | 0.128*** (0.029) | 0.061 (0.052) |
| 既有林地面积×发证前第2年 Existing forestland area × 2nd year before the tenure certified | 0.096 (0.071) | 0.103 (0.077) |
| 既有林地面积×发证前第1年 Existing forestland area × 1st year before the tenure certified | 0.116* (0.069) | 0.045 (0.039) |
| 既有林地面积×发证当年 Existing forestland area × year of the tenure certified | 0.111 (0.073) | 0.046 (0.037) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第1年 Existing forestland area × 1st year after the tenure certified | 0.133*** (0.013) | 0.084** (0.041) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第2年 Existing forestland area × 2nd year after the tenure certified | 0.233*** (0.047) | 0.127* (0.071) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第3年 Existing forestland area × 3rd year after the tenure certified | 0.343*** (0.121) | 0.151*** (0.017) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第4年 Existing forestland area × 4th year after the tenure certified | 0.149*** (0.055) | 0.202** (0.082) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第5年 Existing forestland area × 5th year after the tenure certified | 0.163*** (0.048) | 0.097** (0.044) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第6年 Existing forestland area × 6th year after the tenure certified | 0.135* (0.069) | 0.124** (0.049) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第7年 Existing forestland area × 7th year after the tenure certified | 0.148** (0.068) | 0.087* (0.045) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第8年 Existing forestland area × 8th year after the tenure certified | 0.154** (0.070) | 0.121** (0.056) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第9年 Existing forestland area × 9th year after the tenure certified | 0.216*** (0.009) | 0.241*** (0.023) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第10年 Existing forestland area × 10th year after the tenure certified | 0.172*** (0.019) | 0.161*** (0.009) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第11年 Existing forestland area × 11th year after the tenure certified | 0.248*** (0.077) | 0.130** (0.066) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第12年 Existing forestland area × 12th year after the tenure certified | 0.132* (0.073) | 0.079 (0.057) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第13年 Existing forestland area × 13th year after the tenure certified | 0.132** (0.060) | 0.099 (0.067) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第14年 Existing forestland area × 14th year after the tenure certified | 0.122** (0.062) | 0.210** (0.104) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第15年 Existing forestland area × 15th year after the tenure certified | 0.102 (0.083) | 0.174* (0.101) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第16年 Existing forestland area × 16th year after the tenure certified | 0.145* (0.083) | 0.101 (0.074) |
| 既有林地面积×发证后第17年 Existing forestland area × 17th year after the tenure certified | 0.119* (0.070) | 0.111* (0.065) |
表4
林地确权对不同省(区)样本农户林业劳动力和资本投入的影响①"
| 变量 Variable | 山东 Shandong | 辽宁 Liaoning | 河南 Henan | 四川 Sichuan | 浙江 Zhejiang | 福建 Fujian | 湖南 Hunan | 江西 Jiangxi | 广西 Guangxi |
| ln_林业劳动力投入ln_Forestry labor input/(person·day) | |||||||||
| 既有林地发证比例 Tenure certified ratio of existing forestland | 0.149** (0.063) | 0.381*** (0.107) | 0.230** (0.111) | 0.107* (0.062) | 0.094* (0.055) | 0.116 (0.083) | 0.168** (0.081) | 0.421*** (0.089) | 0.532*** (0.162) |
| 新增林地发证比例 Tenure certified ratio of newly acquired forestland | 0.058 (0.041) | 0.090 (0.669) | 0.131** (0.061) | 0.253* (0.139) | 0.062 (0.043) | 0.442*** (0.107) | 0.144** (0.072) | 0.108* (0.056) | 0.275*** (0.100) |
| ln_林业资本投入ln_Forestry capital input/yuan | |||||||||
| 既有林地发证比例 Tenure certified ratio of existing forestland | 0.104** (0.045) | 0.316*** (0.066) | 0.138* (0.079) | 0.201* (0.120) | 0.172 (0.141) | 0.217 (0.167) | 0.172* (0.097) | 0.369** (0.180) | 0.447*** (0.153) |
| 新增林地发证比例 Tenure certified ratio of newly acquired forestland | 0.042 (0.031) | 0.740 (0.052) | 0.028 (0.020) | 0.130* (0.074) | 0.178* (0.107) | 0.260*** (0.021) | 0.037 (0.029) | 0.121 (0.089) | 0.156** (0.063) |
表5
林地确权对不同规模样本农户林业劳动力和资本投入的影响①"
| 变量 Variable | 小规模(林地面积≤0.33 hm2) Smallest scale (forestland area ≤ 0.33 hm2) | 较小规模(0.33 hm2 < 林地面积≤1.67 hm2) Smaller scale (0.33 hm2 <forestland area ≤1.67 hm2) | 中等规模(1.67 hm2<林地面积≤3.33 hm2) Medium scale (1.67 hm2<forestland area ≤3.33 hm2) | 较大规模(3.33 hm2< 林地面积≤6.67 hm2) Larger scale (3.33 hm2<forestland area ≤6.67 hm2) | 大规模(6.67 hm2< 林地面积) Largest scale (6.67 hm2< forestland area) |
| ln_林业劳动力投入ln_Forestry labor input/(person·day) | |||||
| 既有林地发证比例 Tenure certified ratio of existing forestland | 0.192 (0.153) | 0.417*** (0.086) | 0.288** (0.129) | 0.261 (0.190) | 0.433 (0.330) |
| 新增林地发证比例 Tenure certified ratio of newly acquired forestland | 0.285 (0.202) | 0.350** (0.121) | 0.432** (0.209) | 0.055 (0.042) | 0.017 (0.011) |
| ln_林业资本投入 ln_Forestry capital/yuan | |||||
| 既有林地发证比例 Tenure certified ratio of existing forestland | 0.214 (0.147) | 0.179 (0.128) | 0.233* (0.139) | 0.642*** (0.098) | 0.406* (0.221) |
| 新增林地发证比例 Tenure certified ratio of newly acquired forestland | 0.038 (0.027) | 0.201 (0.165) | 0.334 (0.207) | 0.287* (0.159) | 0.062 (0.055) |
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