林业科学 ›› 2025, Vol. 61 ›› Issue (12): 206-218.doi: 10.11707/j.1001-7488.LYKX20240504
• 研究论文 • 上一篇
收稿日期:2024-08-26
修回日期:2025-01-24
出版日期:2025-12-25
发布日期:2026-01-08
通讯作者:
洪燕真
E-mail:hongyanzhen1984@163.com
基金资助:
Yanzhen Hong1,2,*(
),Yingjing Wang1,2,Chenyuan Zhan3,Han Zhang4
Received:2024-08-26
Revised:2025-01-24
Online:2025-12-25
Published:2026-01-08
Contact:
Yanzhen Hong
E-mail:hongyanzhen1984@163.com
摘要:
目的: 探索联户经营模式对营林投入的影响,提升林业经营效率并实现可持续发展,以应对集体林权制度改革背景下单户经营所面临的困境。方法: 基于集体林改监测数据,采用内生转换回归模型,在反事实分析框架下,深入剖析联户经营模式对单位面积资本投入和劳动投入的影响,同时,探讨非农就业对联户经营与营林投入关系的调节效应,并分析农户间的异质性。结果: 1) 在反事实分析框架下,联户经营对单位面积资本投入的处理效应为?0.786,对单位面积劳动投入的处理效应为?0.054,联户经营能够显著降低单位面积的资本投入和劳动投入。2) 非农就业对联户经营与单位面积资本、劳动投入关系具有显著正向调节效应。3) 联户经营减少单位面积的自投劳动和雇佣劳动,特别是自投劳动减少显著。此外,林业社会化服务的提供可有效降低信息不对称,从而缓解机会主义行为。4) 异质性分析结果显示,小规模、低收入、小组联户的农户在营林投入减少效应上更为显著。结论: 政府应促进林业生产经营的规模化和专业化,加强非农就业与林业经营的互动,完善林业社会化服务体系,并引导联户经营主体优化利益联结机制,通过差异化策略确保各方利益共享,以推动林业资源的优化配置和经济效益的提升。
中图分类号:
洪燕真,王迎静,詹臣源,张寒. 破解林业经营小农困境:深化集体林权制度改革下联户经营对营林投入的影响[J]. 林业科学, 2025, 61(12): 206-218.
Yanzhen Hong,Yingjing Wang,Chenyuan Zhan,Han Zhang. Resolving the Dilemma of Smallholder Forestry Operation: The Impact of Joint Household Operation on Forest Management Inputs under the Deepening of the Collective Forest Tenure Reform[J]. Scientia Silvae Sinicae, 2025, 61(12): 206-218.
表1
工具变量法:联户经营对营林投入的影响①"
| 变量 Variable | 联户经营Joint household operation 第一阶段First stage | 资本投入Capital input 第二阶段Second stage | 劳动投入Labor input 第二阶段Second stage |
| 联户经营Joint household operation | ?1.668***(0.477) | ?0.727***(0.453) | |
| 联户经营率Rate of joint household operation | 0.650***(0.036) | ||
| 控制变量Control variables | 已控制Controlled | 已控制Controlled | 已控制Controlled |
| Kleibergen-Paap rk LM | 220.064*** | ||
| Cragg-Donald Wald F | 333.911 | ||
| 样本量Sample size | 4 379 | 4 379 | 4 379 |
| R2 | 0.120 | 0.076 | 0.111 |
表2
样本的描述性统计①"
| 变量名称 Variable name | 变量赋值及单位 Variable assignment & unit | 总样本 Total sample | 联户经营均值 Mean value for joint household operation | 未联户经营均值 Mean value for non-joint household operation | 差异 Difference |
| 因变量Dependent variables | |||||
| 资本投入 Capital input | 单位面积的资本投入,取对数 Capital input per unit area/(yuan·hm?2), logarithm is taken | 4.05 | 3.53 | 4.20 | ?0.67*** |
| 劳动投入 Labor input | 单位面积的劳动投入,取对数 Labor input per unit area/(yuan·hm?2), logarithm is taken | 5.81 | 5.31 | 5.96 | ?0.65*** |
| 自变量Independent variables | |||||
| 联户经营 Joint household operation | 1: 联户经营,0: 未联户经营 1 for joint household operation, 0 for non-joint household operation | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| 控制变量Control variables | |||||
| 户主年龄 Age of household head | 调查当年户主年龄 Age of household head in the survey year/a | 51.79 | 51.01 | 52.02 | ?1.01** |
| 户主性别 Gender of household head | 1: 男性,0: 女性 1 for male, 0 for female | 0.95 | 0.96 | 0.95 | 0.01 |
| 户主职业 Occupation of household head | 1: 农业,2: 兼业,3: 非农 1 for agriculture, 2 for part-time agriculture, 3 for non-agriculture | 1.63 | 1.68 | 1.62 | 0.06** |
| 户主是否村干部 Whether the household head is a village cadre | 1: 是,0: 否 1 for yes, 0 for no | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.36 | 0.06*** |
| 家庭人口数量 Number of family members | 家庭人口总数 Total number of family members | 4.69 | 4.60 | 4.72 | ?0.12* |
| 家庭总收入 Total household income | 家庭总收入,取对数 Total household income/yuan, logarithm is taken | 10.26 | 10.39 | 10.22 | 0.17*** |
| 距离县城距离 Distance from county town | 住址到最近县城的距离 Distance from residence to nearest county town/km | 19.96 | 20.02 | 19.89 | 0.31 |
| 林地地块数量 Number of forestland plots | 家庭拥有的林地地块数量 Number of forestland plots owned by the family | 2.77 | 3.25 | 2.64 | 0.61*** |
| 林地细碎化程度 Degree of forestland fragmentation | 农户家庭林地总面积/林地地块数量 Total forestland area of the family (hm2)/number of forestland plots | 2.07 | 4.29 | 1.42 | 2.88*** |
| 是否有生态公益林 Presence of ecological public welfare forest | 1: 是,0: 否 1 for yes, 0 for no | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.18 | 0.05*** |
| 林地平均经营期限Average operation period of forestland | 农户家庭林地总期限/家庭拥有的林地块数 Total forestland operation period of the family/number of forestland plots | 54.69 | 50.26 | 55.96 | ?5.70*** |
| 工具变量Instrumental variables | |||||
| 联户经营率 Rate of joint household operation | 除自身以外乡镇内联户经营的比例 Proportion of joint household operation within the township excluding oneself (%) | 0.23 | 0.32 | 0.21 | 0.11*** |
表3
农户联户经营参与决策模型与营林投入模型联立估计结果"
| 变量 Variable | 选择方程 Selection equation | 结果方程(资本投入) Result equation (capital input) | 选择方程 Selection equation | 结果方程(劳动投入) Result equation (labor input) | ||
| 是否联户经营 Whether it is a joint household operation | 联户经营 Joint household operation | 未联户经营 Non-joint household operation | 是否联户经营 Whether it is a joint household operation | 联户经营 Joint household operation | 未联户经营 Non-joint household operation | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
| 户主年龄 | ?0.004** (0.002) | ?0.030*** | ?0.038*** | ?0.001 | ?0.020** | ?0.026*** |
| Age of household head | (0.011) | (0.006) | (0.002) | (0.010) | (0.005) | |
| 户主性别 | 0.111 | ?1.109** | 0.538* | 0.090 | ?0.244 | 0.534** |
| Gender of household head | (0.089) | (0.523) | (0.319) | (0.109) | (0.481) | (0.264) |
| 户主职业 | ?0.006 | ?0.546*** | ?0.273*** | 0.035 | ?0.396*** | ?0.502*** |
| Occupation of household head | (0.026) | (0.142) | (0.095) | (0.031) | (0.130) | (0.079) |
| 户主是否村干部 | 0.184*** (0.039) | 0.608*** (0.221) | 0.395*** (0.145) | 0.123*** (0.047) | 0.379* (0.194) | 0.588*** (0.123) |
| Whether the household head is a village cadre | ||||||
| 家庭人口数量 | ?0.016 | ?0.052 | 0.010 | ?0.025* | ?0.108* | 0.061* |
| Number of family members | (0.011) | (0.062) | (0.038) | (0.013) | (0.057) | (0.032) |
| 家庭总收入 | 0.042*** | 0.499*** | 0.319*** | 0.031** | 0.371*** | 0.307*** |
| Total household income | (0.012) | (0.073) | (0.043) | (0.015) | (0.066) | (0.036) |
| 距县城距离 | 0.009*** | 0.013 | 0.018*** | 0.002 | 0.039*** | 0.026*** |
| Distance from county town | (0.002) | (0.009) | (0.006) | (0.002) | (0.008) | (0.005) |
| 林地地块数量 | 0.118*** | 0.308*** | 0.399*** | 0.087*** | 0.197*** | 0.297*** |
| Number of forestland plots | (0.010) | (0.073) | (0.039) | (0.012) | (0.054) | (0.039) |
| 林地细碎化程度 | 0.013*** | ?0.001 | 0.033*** | 0.016*** | ?0.011** | ?0.032*** |
| Degree of forestland fragmentation | (0.002) | (0.006) | (0.011) | (0.003) | (0.005) | (0.012) |
| 是否有生态公益林 | 0.067 | ?0.784*** | ?0.443** | 0.242*** | ?0.410* | ?0.962*** |
| Presence of ecological public welfare forest | (0.049) | (0.246) | (0.181) | (0.056) | (0.226) | (0.158) |
| 林地平均经营期限 | ?0.005*** | ?0.012* | ?0.002 | ?0.007*** | ?0.009 | 0.022*** |
| Average operation period of forestland | (0.001) | (0.006) | (0.003) | (0.001) | (0.006) | (0.003) |
| 联户经营率 | 1.030*** | 2.235*** | ||||
| Rate of joint household operation | (0.087) | (0.133) | ||||
| 常数项 | ?1.659*** | ?0.130 | 2.865*** | ?1.693*** | 2.686** | 1.547** |
| Constant | (0.202) | (1.453) | (0.719) | (0.249) | (1.150) | (0.607) |
| ρ1 | 0.398** | 1.067*** | ||||
| (0.165) | (0.023) | |||||
| ρ0 | 2.149*** | 1.206*** | ||||
| (0.068) | (0.013) | |||||
| 方程独立性检验 LR test of independence test | 195.39*** | 158.81*** | ||||
| 模型拟合优度检验 Goodness-of-fit test for model | 297.06*** | 440.98*** | ||||
| 对数伪似然值 Log pseudolikelihood value | ?13 497.256 | ?13 428.409 | ||||
| 样本量Sample size | 4 379 | 990 | 3 389 | 4 379 | 990 | 3 389 |
表6
非农就业对联户经营资本和劳动投入的调节效应结果①"
| 变量 Variable | (1) | (2) |
| 资本投入 Capital input | 劳动投入 Labor input | |
| 联户经营 | ?0.750*** | ?0.742*** |
| Joint household operation | (0.125) | (0.120) |
| 非农就业 | ?0.109*** | ?0.134*** |
| Off-farming | (0.021) | (0.020) |
| 联户经营×非农就业 | 0.067* | 0.068* |
| Joint household operation× off-farming | (0.038) | (0.037) |
| 控制变量 Control variables | 已控制 Controlled | 已控制 Controlled |
| R2 | 0.093 | 0.120 |
| 样本量Sample size | 4 379 | 4 379 |
表8
合作经营中林业社会化服务种类的描述性统计"
| 变量 Variable | 林业社会化服务的种类数量 The variety and quantity of forestry socialization services provided during cooperation | 合计Total | |||||
| 无None | 1种One | 2种Two | 3种Three | 4种Four | 5种及以上 Five or more | ||
| 合作经营主体数量 Number of joint household management entities | 14 | 44 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 85 |
| 占比Proportion (%) | 16.47 | 51.76 | 18.82 | 7.06 | 3.53 | 2.35 | 100.00 |
表9
合作经营对农户自投劳动和雇佣劳动的平均处理效应①"
| 变量 Variable | (1) | (2) |
| 自投劳动 Self-invested labor | 雇佣劳动 Hired Labor | |
| 林业社会化服务种类 Types of forestry socialization services | ?1.363*** (0.400) | ?0.169 (0.197) |
| 控制变量 Control variables | 已控制 Controlled | 已控制 Controlled |
| 地区虚拟变量 Regional dummy variable | 控制省份 Controlling for provinces | 控制省份 Controlling for provinces |
| R2 | 0.233 | 0.046 |
| 样本量Sample size | 650 | 650 |
表12
联户经营对不同禀赋约束和联户类型下农户营林投入的影响①"
| 组别 Group | 林地规模 Forestland scale | 家庭收入 Household income | 联户类型 Type of joint household | ||||||
| 低于均值 Below the mean | 高于均值 Above the mean | 低于均值 Below the mean | 高于均值 Above the mean | 村集体联户 Village collective joint household | 小组联户 Group joint household | 其他联户 Other joint household | |||
| 资本投入 Capital input | ?0.909*** | ?0.575*** | ?1.049*** | ?0.588*** | ?0.579*** | ?0.883*** | ?0.747*** | ||
| (0.037) | (0.048) | (0.045) | (0.037) | (0115) | (0.050) | (0.040) | |||
| 劳动投入 Labor input | ?0.219*** | ?0.095** | ?0.197*** | ?0.033*** | ?0.074*** | ?0.191*** | ?0.094*** | ||
| (0.026) | (0.049) | (0.036) | (0.014) | (0.032) | (0.039) | (0.036) | |||
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