关键词: 生物量模型, 相容性, 非线性联合估计

Abstract:

Forest biomass is a basic quantity character of the forest ecological system. Biomass data are foundation of researching many forestry and ecology problems, thus accurate measurement of biomass is very important. Establishing biomass models is a major way to biomass estimation. There were a serious shortcomings in the models established previously, i.e.the results were incompatible for models of each component, in other words, the sum of estimated biomass of wood, bark, branches and foliage was unequal to estimated biomass of total aboveground, the sum of estimated biomass of wood and bark was unequal to estimated biomass of stem, the sum of estimated biomass of branches and foliage was unequal to estimated biomass of crown. There fore how to obtain the compatibility is stile a difficult problem for biomass estimate. A new method, nonlinear joint estimate, was proposed in this paper, and compared with method of adjustment in proportion. To the different methods of establishing models, five alternative methods were designed, then one of them was determined as a optimum method through the analysis and comparison. The optimum method took stem as a basis component and adopted two steps joint estimate, structure of models was as follows; the first step, total aboveground\;W₁=f₂(x)+f₅(x), stem W₂=f₂(x), crown W₅=f₅(x); the second step, wood W₃=f₃(x), bark W₄=f₂(x)-f₃(x); branch W₆=f6(x), foliage W₇=f₅(x)-f₆(x)In this paper, the progressive variable selection method was used to select models structure, and weighted least squares method was used to estimate parameters for reducing errors of non-homogeneous variance. At meantime, the paper used five indices to evaluate models, they were coefficient of variation for parameters C%, total relative error RS%,average relative error EE%,average absolute value of relative error RMA% and prediction precision P%. All of researches shown above in this paper took Larix olgensis as an example.

Key words: Biomass model, Compatibility, Nonlinear joint estimate