林业科学 ›› 2026, Vol. 62 ›› Issue (9): 209-220.doi: 10.11707/j.1001-7488.LYKX20260013
• 综合评述 • 上一篇
收稿日期:2026-01-07
修回日期:2026-04-01
出版日期:2026-09-10
发布日期:2026-09-16
通讯作者:
刘金成
E-mail:jinchengl@nwafu.edu.cn
基金资助:
Yuhua Jiao,Qingfeng Zhang,Chuanlong Zhou,Jincheng Liu*(
)
Received:2026-01-07
Revised:2026-04-01
Online:2026-09-10
Published:2026-09-16
Contact:
Jincheng Liu
E-mail:jinchengl@nwafu.edu.cn
摘要:
森林作为陆地生态系统的最大碳库,精准评估其碳汇能力是维持全球碳平衡的关键。然而,森林生态系统碳汇具有高度时空异质性,其精准量化面临着巨大挑战。智慧林业通过集成多源信息技术可为突破传统静态监测局限、实现动态模拟和精准管理提供创新路径。本研究系统梳理森林碳汇估算方法,总结发展趋势,确定研究热点,并结合智慧林业发展带来的机遇与挑战进行综合评述。全球森林碳汇估算研究的发文量呈指数级增长,形成以中、美为核心,西欧、东亚为支撑的空间格局;森林碳汇估算方法已由早期依赖地面调查和经验统计,逐步发展到过程机理模型、遥感驱动模型、生态系统服务模型及人工智能(AI)融合估算法的综合应用;研究热点存在显著的国内外差异,国际研究侧重全球尺度的气候响应机理,国内研究则更聚焦于服务“双碳”目标的区域高精度制图。森林碳汇评估研究已进入多技术融合、多尺度协同的新阶段。未来研究应重点解决尺度转换误差和模型可解释性不足等问题:将边缘计算用于森林碳汇的动态监测和风险预警,加强生态过程机理与深度学习方法的耦合,并推动卫星、航空和地面观测数据在数字孪生平台中的协同应用,以提高森林碳汇估算的时效性、准确性和决策支持能力。
中图分类号:
焦昱华,张青峰,周传龙,刘金成. 智慧林业背景下森林碳汇估算:进展、挑战与展望[J]. 林业科学, 2026, 62(9): 209-220.
Yuhua Jiao,Qingfeng Zhang,Chuanlong Zhou,Jincheng Liu. Forest Carbon Sink Estimation under Smart Forestry: Progress, Challenges, and Prospects[J]. Scientia Silvae Sinicae, 2026, 62(9): 209-220.
表1
森林碳汇估算方法的代表性模型及典型应用尺度"
| 方法类别 Method category | 代表性方法/模型 Representative method/model | 典型应用尺度 Typical application scale |
| 地面调查与经验统计法 Ground survey and experience-based statistical method | 生物量膨胀因子法 Biomass expansion factor method | 样地、林分 Plot,stand |
| 异速生长方程 Allometric equation | 样地、林分 Plot,stand | |
| 蓄积量–生物量转换+生长/收获表 Growth stock–biomass conversion + growth/harvest table | 林场、区域 Forest farm,area | |
| IPCC增量–损失法 IPCC increment-loss method | 国家、流域、省域 Country,river basin,provincial region | |
| CBM-CFS3 模型 CBM-CFS3 model | 国家、省域、经营区 Nation,province,business region | |
| 过程机理模型法 Process mechanism model method | Biome-BGC/FOREST-BGC模型 Biome-BGC/FOREST-BGC model | 小流域、区域、全球 Small watershed,regional,global |
| CENTURY 模型 CENTURY model | 草地、农田–林地复合系统、区域 Grassland,farmland–forestland composite system,region | |
| 3-PG模型 3-PG model | 林分、地区 Forest stand,region | |
| DGVM(LPJ/LPJ-GUESS/ORCHIDEE)模型 DGVM (LPJ/LPJ-GUESS/ORCHIDEE) model | 大区域、全球 Large area,global | |
| 遥感驱动模型法 Remote sensing-driven modeling method | 光学指数经验反演 Optical index empirical inversion | 流域、区域 Basin,region |
| LiDAR/SAR结构参数反演 LiDAR/SAR structure parameter inversion | 样地、区域 Plots,areas | |
| CASA模型 CASA model | 区域、全球 Region,global | |
| 多源遥感融合AGB/碳产品 Multi-source remote sensing fusion AGB/carbon products | 大区域、全球 Large area,global | |
| 生态系统服务模型 Ecosystem services model | InVEST模型 InVEST model | 流域、省域、景观尺度 River basin,provincial region,landscape scale |
| ARIES模型 ARIES model | 区域、国家 Region,country | |
| i-Tree Eco/Canopy/Landscape模型 i-Tree Eco/Canopy/Landscape model | 城市、城镇绿地 Urban and rural green spaces | |
| 人工智能融合估算法 Artificial intelligence fusion estimation method | RF、XGBoost、SVM等模型 RF,XGBoost,and SVM models | 样地、区域 Plots,areas |
| CNN/U-Net/LSTM等模型 CNN/U-Net/LSTM models | 场景、流域、区域 Scene,watershed,region | |
| 机理–AI融合 Mechanism–AI integration | 区域、全球 Region,global |
表2
国内外研究热点主题①"
| 研究热点主题 Research hot topics | 关注程度Degree of attention | |||
| 国外文献 Abroad literature | 文献占比 Proportion (%) | 国内文献 Domestic literature | 文献占比 Proportion (%) | |
| 森林碳储量精细反演 Fine-scale inversion of forest carbon storage | ● | 27.62 | ● | 11.45 |
| 生态系统碳储量格局及其驱动机制 The pattern of carbon storage in ecosystems and its driving mechanisms | ○ | 2.65 | ○ | 3.18 |
| 森林碳汇潜力与增汇空间评估 Assessment of forest carbon sink potential and carbon sequestration space | ○ | 3.54 | ⊕ | 5.60 |
| 森林生态系统服务功能 Forest ecosystem service functions | ● | 20.42 | ● | 45.69 |
| 城市森林与城市绿地碳汇 Urban forest and urban green space carbon sinks | ○ | 1.92 | ○ | 4.07 |
| 特殊森林类型的碳汇功能 The carbon sink function of special forest types | ⊕ | 15.53 | ⊕ | 5.41 |
| 森林碳汇过程模型 Forest carbon sink process model | ○ | 0.84 | ○ | 1.34 |
| 土地利用/覆盖变化 Land use/cover change | ⊕ | 12.14 | ⊕ | 9.13 |
| 土壤碳与湿地/森林交错区碳储量 Soil carbon and carbon storage in the transition zone between wetlands and forests | ⊕ | 12.20 | ● | 10.14 |
| 碳交易与政策评估 Carbon trading and policy evaluation | ○ | 3.14 | ○ | 4.01 |
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