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林业科学 ›› 2026, Vol. 62 ›› Issue (9): 209-220.doi: 10.11707/j.1001-7488.LYKX20260013

• 综合评述 • 上一篇    

智慧林业背景下森林碳汇估算:进展、挑战与展望

焦昱华,张青峰,周传龙,刘金成*()   

  1. 西北农林科技大学资源环境学院 杨凌 712100
  • 收稿日期:2026-01-07 修回日期:2026-04-01 出版日期:2026-09-10 发布日期:2026-09-16
  • 通讯作者: 刘金成 E-mail:jinchengl@nwafu.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(32371875);陕西省重点研发计划项目(2025NC-YBXM-209)。

Forest Carbon Sink Estimation under Smart Forestry: Progress, Challenges, and Prospects

Yuhua Jiao,Qingfeng Zhang,Chuanlong Zhou,Jincheng Liu*()   

  1. College of Resources and Environment, Northwest A&F University Yangling 712100
  • Received:2026-01-07 Revised:2026-04-01 Online:2026-09-10 Published:2026-09-16
  • Contact: Jincheng Liu E-mail:jinchengl@nwafu.edu.cn

摘要:

森林作为陆地生态系统的最大碳库,精准评估其碳汇能力是维持全球碳平衡的关键。然而,森林生态系统碳汇具有高度时空异质性,其精准量化面临着巨大挑战。智慧林业通过集成多源信息技术可为突破传统静态监测局限、实现动态模拟和精准管理提供创新路径。本研究系统梳理森林碳汇估算方法,总结发展趋势,确定研究热点,并结合智慧林业发展带来的机遇与挑战进行综合评述。全球森林碳汇估算研究的发文量呈指数级增长,形成以中、美为核心,西欧、东亚为支撑的空间格局;森林碳汇估算方法已由早期依赖地面调查和经验统计,逐步发展到过程机理模型、遥感驱动模型、生态系统服务模型及人工智能(AI)融合估算法的综合应用;研究热点存在显著的国内外差异,国际研究侧重全球尺度的气候响应机理,国内研究则更聚焦于服务“双碳”目标的区域高精度制图。森林碳汇评估研究已进入多技术融合、多尺度协同的新阶段。未来研究应重点解决尺度转换误差和模型可解释性不足等问题:将边缘计算用于森林碳汇的动态监测和风险预警,加强生态过程机理与深度学习方法的耦合,并推动卫星、航空和地面观测数据在数字孪生平台中的协同应用,以提高森林碳汇估算的时效性、准确性和决策支持能力。

关键词: 智慧林业, 森林碳汇, 数字孪生, 多源遥感融合, 机器学习

Abstract:

Forests constitute the largest carbon reservoir in terrestrial ecosystems, and accurately assessing their carbon sink capacity is essential for maintaining the global carbon balance. However, forest ecosystem carbon sinks exhibit pronounced spatiotemporal heterogeneity, making their accurate quantification highly challenging. By integrating multisource information technologies, smart forestry provides new opportunities to overcome the limitations of conventional static monitoring and to support dynamic simulation and precision management. This study systematically reviews the major methods used for forest carbon sink estimation, summarizes their development trends and research hotspots, and provides a comprehensive review of the opportunities and challenges associated with the development of smart forestry. The study results showed that the number of publications on forest carbon sink estimation has increased exponentially worldwide, forming a research landscape centered on China and the United States, with Western Europe and East Asia as major supporting regions. Forest carbon sink estimation has evolved from early reliance on field surveys and empirical statistical methods toward the integrated application of process-based models, remote sensing-driven models, ecosystem service models, and artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted approaches. There are clear differences in research priorities are observed between international and Chinese studies: international research focuses more on climate-response mechanisms at the global scale, while research in China places greater emphasis on high-resolution regional mapping in support of the national carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. Forest carbon sink assessment has entered a new stage characterized by multi-technology integration and cross-scale coordination. Future research should focus on reducing uncertainties associated with scale transformation and improving model interpretability by applying edge computing to dynamic carbon sink monitoring and risk early warning, strengthening the coupling of ecological process mechanisms with deep learning, and promoting the coordinated use of satellite, airborne, and ground-based observations within digital twin platforms. These advances will help improve the timeliness, accuracy, and decision-support capacity of forest carbon sink estimation.

Key words: smart forestry, forests carbon sinks, digital twin, multi-source remote sensing fusion, machine learning

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