关键词: 林业市场化, 评价理论, 实证研究

Abstract:

The paper designed indicator system including five composite indicators and sixteen sub-indicators for evaluating the process of China’s forestry, adopted market-based index evaluation model to evaluate the market-orient extent and trend of forestry based on the relevant statistical data in 15 provinces (regions) in 2002—2006 of China form the national level and regional level respectively. It showed that the process of China’s forestry market-orient was going forward at an average annual rate of 1.5% and reached 44.9% in 2006, but lagged behind the rate of 25% of the national average as well as behind 15% of the agriculture during the same period. Forestry market-oriented speed is so uneven in the different provinces and regions that the provinces in the eastern region was significantly higher than the level of the western and north-central provinces in China. In the factors of influencing the forestry market-oriented process, the government behavior standardization and forest production marketing management are the most influential factors, the degree of resource marketing and market system perfection are also important factor.

Key words: forestry market-oriented processing, estimation theory, empirical analysis