陈则生. 2010. 杉木人工林经济成熟龄的研究. 林业经济问题, 30(1):22-26. (Chen Z S. 2010. The research on age at economic maturity of Chinese fir plantations. Issues of Forestry Economics, 30(1):22-26.[in Chinese]) 陈冲影. 2010. 森林碳汇与农户生计——以全球第一个森林碳汇项目为例. 世界林业研究, 23(5):15-19. (Chen C Y. 2010. Forestry carbon sequestration and local households' livelihoods:taking the first CDM forestry carbon project in the world as example. World Forestry Research, 23(5):15-19.[in Chinese]) 郭艳荣, 吴保国, 刘洋, 等. 2012. 立地质量评价研究进展. 世界林业研究, 25(5):47-52. (Guo Y R, Wu B G, Liu Y, et al. 2012. Research progress of site quality evaluation. World Forestry Research, 25(5):47-52.[in Chinese]) 简盖元, 冯亮明, 刘伟平. 2011. 基于碳汇价值的森林最优轮伐期分析. 林业经济问题, 31(1):70-75. (Jian G Y, Feng L M, Liu W P. 2011. Analysis of forest optimal rotation which base on the value of carbon sequestration. Issues of Forestry Economics, 31(1):70-75.[in Chinese]) 李怒云, 宋维明. 2006. 气候变化与中国林业碳汇政策研究综述. 林业经济, (5):60-64, 80. (Li N Y, Song W M. 2006. Summary for climate change and forestry carbon sequestration policy under CDM in China. Forestry Economics, (5):60-64, 80.[in Chinese]) 彭志行, 鲍昌俊, 赵杨, 等. 2008. ARIMA乘积季节模型及其在传染病发病预测中的应用. 数理统计与管理, 27(2):362-368. (Peng Z H, Bao C J, Zhao Y, et al. 2008. ARIMA product season model and its application on forecasting in incidence of infectious disease research. Application of Statistics and Management, 27(2):362-368.[in Chinese]) 权伟, 应苗苗, 康华靖, 等. 2014. 基于时间序列模型的洞头大型藻类碳汇强度预测分析. 中国农学通报, 30(8):63-67. (Quan W, Ying M M, Kang H J, et al. 2014. Carbon sink capacity forecast of macroscopic algae in the coastal areas of Dongtou County based on time series model. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 30(8):63-67.[in Chinese]) 任腾腾, 徐秀英. 2013. 碳交易情景下林地效益可能的变化分析——基于农户杉木地块调查分析. 生态经济:学术版, (2):158-161,182. (Ren T T, Xu X Y. 2013. The analysis of forestland benefit possible changes of different types in carbon trading situation:based on Chinese fir plot investigation of farmer. Ecological Economy, (2):158-161,182.[in Chinese]) 沈月琴, 王枫, 张耀启, 等. 2013a. 中国南方杉木森林碳汇供给的经济分析. 林业科学, 49(9):140-147. (Shen Y Q, Wang F, Zhang Y Q, et al. 2013a. Economic analysis of Chinese fir forest carbon sequestration supply in south China. Scientia Silvae Sinicae, 49(9):140-147.[in Chinese]) 沈月琴, 王小玲, 王枫, 等. 2013b. 农户经营杉木林的碳汇供给及其影响因素. 中国人口·资源与环境, 23(8):42-47. (Shen Y Q, Wang X L, Wang F, et al. 2013b. Carbon sequestration supply and its influencing factors for farmers operating Fir in Chinese southern collective forest zone. China Population Resources and Environment, 23(8):42-47.[in Chinese]) 王枫, 沈月琴, 朱臻, 等. 2012. 杉木碳汇的经济学分析:基于浙江省的调查. 浙江农林大学学报, 29(5):762-767. (Wang F, Shen Y Q, Zhu Z, et al. 2012. Economic analysis of Chinese fir forest carbon sequestration:based on Zhejiang's survey. Journal of Zhejiang A & F University, 29(5):762-767.[in Chinese]) 王志忠, 刘秀菊, 王树林, 等. 2007. 黄河流域棉花品种产量性状时间序列的ARIMA模型预测研究. 棉花学报, 19(3):220-226. (Wang Z Z, Liu X J, Wang S L, et al. 2007. Prediction of time series of main yield characters for cotton varieties in the Yellow River valley region using ARIMA models. Cotton Science, 19(3):220-226.[in Chinese]) 吴承祯, 洪伟. 1995. 福建省杉木人工林序列林价及其应用研究. 福建林学院学报, 15(3):218-222. (Wu C Z, Hong W. 1995. Study on the forest value list of Chinese fir plantation in Fujian province and its application. Journal of Fujian College of Forestry, 15(3):218-222.[in Chinese]) 熊志斌. 2011. 基于ARIMA与神经网络集成的 GDP 时间序列预测研究. 数理统计与管理, 30(2):306-314. (Xiong Z B. 2011. Researeh on GDP time series forecasting based on integrating ARIMA with neural networks. Journal of Applied Statistics and Management, 30(2):306-314.[in Chinese]) 续珊珊. 2011. 中国森林碳汇问题研究——以黑龙江省森工国有林区为例. 北京:经济科学出版社. (Xu S S. 2011. Research on forest carbon sequestration in China:a case study of forest industrial state-owned region in Heilongjiang Province. Beijing:Economic Science Press.[in Chinese]) 于金娜, 姚顺波. 2012. 基于碳汇效益视角的最优退耕还林补贴标准研究. 中国人口·资源与环境, 22(7):34-39. (Yu J N, Yao S B. 2012. Optimal subsidy of SLCP in China from the perspective of carbon sequestration benefit. China Population Resources and Environment, 22(7):34-39.[in Chinese]) 朱臻, 沈月琴, 张耀启, 等. 2013a. 碳汇经营目标下的林地期望价值变化及碳供给——基于杉木裸地造林假设研究. 林业科学, 48(11):112-116. (Zhu Z, Shen Y Q, Zhang Y Q, et al. 2013a. Change of forestland expected value and carbon supply in sequestration:based on the Chinese fir plantation the in objective of carbon bared land. Scientia Silvae Sinicae, 48(11):112-116.[in Chinese]) 朱臻, 沈月琴, 吴伟光, 等. 2013b. 碳汇目标下农户森林经营最优决策及碳汇供给能力——基于浙江和江西两省调查. 生态学报, 33(8):2577-2585. (Zhu Z, Shen Y Q, Wu W G, et al. 2013b. Household optimal forest management decision and carbon supply:case from Zhejiang and Jiangxi Provinces. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 33(8):2577-2585.[in Chinese]) Asante P, Armstrong G W, Adamowicz W L. 2011. Carbon sequestration and the optimal forest harvest decision:a dynamic programming approach considering biomass and dead organic matter. Journal of Forest Economics, 17(1):3-17. Box G E P, Jenkins G M, Reinsel G C. 2011. Time series analysis:forecasting and control. John Wiley & Sons. Diaz-Balteiro L, Rodriguez L C E. 2006. Optimal rotations on Eucalyptus plantations including carbon sequestration-a comparison of results in Brazil and Spain. Forest Ecology and Management, 229(1):247-258. Dixon R K, Solomon A M, Brown S., et al. 1994. Carbon pools and flux of global forest ecosystems. Science, 263(5144):185-190. Fahey T J, Woodbury P B, Battles J J, et al. 2009. Forest carbon storage:ecology, management, and policy. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 8(5):245-252. Fang J, Chen A, Peng C, et al. 2001. Changes in forest biomass carbon storage in China between 1949 and 1998. Science, 292(5525):2320-2322. Guthrie G, Kumareswaran D. 2009. Carbon subsidies, taxes and optimal forest management. Environmental and Resource Economics, 43(2):275-293. Hartman R. 1976. The harvesting decision when a standing forest has value. Economic Inquiry, 14(1):52-58. Pan Y, Birdsey R A, Fang J, et al. 2011. A large and persistent carbon sink in the world's forests. Science, 333(6045):988-993. Richards K R, Stokes C. 2004. A review of forest carbon sequestration cost studies:a dozen years of research. Climatic Change, 63(1/2):1-48. Stainback G A, Alavalapati J R R. 2002. Economic analysis of slash pine forest carbon sequestration in the southern US. Journal of Forest Economics, 8(2):105-117. Uzawa H. 1991. Global warming initiatives:the Pacific Rim//Dornbusch R, Poterba J M. Global Warming:Economic Policy Responses, 275-324. |