南方集体林区林业经济增长的产业结构演变及其差异分析——基于13个省（区）1995—2011年的统计数据

doi:10.11707/j.1001-7488.20140819

林业科学 ›› 2014, Vol. 50 ›› Issue (8): 131-140.doi: 10.11707/j.1001-7488.20140819

南方集体林区林业经济增长的产业结构演变及其差异分析——基于13个省（区）1995—2011年的统计数据

廖文梅^1,2

1. 江西农业大学经济管理学院南昌 330045;
2. 江西财经大学鄱阳湖生态经济研究院南昌 330032

收稿日期:2013-12-10 修回日期:2014-06-12 出版日期:2014-08-25 发布日期:2014-07-31
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目（71173095，71363025）；江西省高校哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目（ZDGG02）；江西省软科学研究计划项目（20132BBA10041）；中国博士后科学基金特别资助项目（2014T70616）。

Analysis on the Industrial Structure Evolutions and Its Differences of the Forest Economic Growth from 1995 to 2011 of 13 Provinces (Autonomous Regions) in the Southern Collective Forest Region of China

Liao Wenmei^1,2

1. School of Economics and Management of Jiangxi Agricultural University Nanchang 330045;
2. Institute of Poyang Lake Eco-Economics of Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics Nanchang 330032

Received:2013-12-10 Revised:2014-06-12 Online:2014-08-25 Published:2014-07-31

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

以13个省（区）1995—2011年林业产值数据为基础，利用动态偏离-份额分析法，分析我国南方集体林区林业经济增长、产业结构演变及其差异。结果表明：与全国整体水平相比，南方集体林区林业经济有着较快的增长速度和较好的林业产业结构素质，具有一定的区域竞争力优势，但林业第一产业增长速度和产业结构素质均低于全国平均水平，不具有区域竞争力优势，林业第二和第三产业增长速度和产业结构素质高于全国平均水平，具有区域竞争力优势；与南方集体林区整体水平相比，江苏、广东、安徽和广西4个省（区）的林业经济增长速度较高，江苏、浙江、福建、湖南和广东5省的林业产业结构素质较高，其中，又以前3个省（区）的林业产业结构素质优势最为明显，江苏、安徽、广东和广西4个省（区）的林业产业具有一定的区域整体竞争优势；进一步采用聚类分析方法，将南方集体林区13个省（区）林业产业发展类型区分为4类，即优势类型区、后发优势类型区、优势待提升类型区和优势滞后类型区，针对不同类型区的特点，提出相应对策建议。

关键词: 南方集体林区, 林业经济增长, 产业结构, 动态偏离-份额分析法

Abstract:

The study analyzed the economic growth, the industry evolution and its structure differences of the forestry using a dynamic shift share analysis, based on 17-year forestry outputs (from 1995 to 2011) of 13 provinces (autonomous regions) of the southern collective forestry region of China (SCFRC). Results indicated that the forestry economy in the SCFRC had a rapid growth rate and maintained better quality on forestry industry structure, bringing regional competitive advantages compared with the overall national level. The second and third industries of the forestry with regional competitive advantages had a higher growth rate and a higher quality on industrial structure than the whole nation while the primary industry does not. Compared with the SCFRC, forestry economic industry had maintained a high growth rate in Jiangsu, Guangdong, Anhui and Guangxi and the competitive advantages of the industry structure had been found in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Fujian. The forestry industry had competitive advantages in Jiangsu, Anhui, Guangdong and Guangxi. The study further adopted a cluster analysis to divide the 13 provinces into four categories by forestry industry developing: the advantages type, industrial developing type, the advantage to be improved type, the advantage-lag type. The associated policy implications and suggestions were provided according to the characteristics of different developing paths.

Key words: southern collective forestry region of China (SCFRC), forestry economic growth, industrial structure, dynamic shift-share analysis

中图分类号:

F326.2

廖文梅. 南方集体林区林业经济增长的产业结构演变及其差异分析——基于13个省（区）1995—2011年的统计数据[J]. 林业科学, 2014, 50(8): 131-140.

Liao Wenmei. Analysis on the Industrial Structure Evolutions and Its Differences of the Forest Economic Growth from 1995 to 2011 of 13 Provinces (Autonomous Regions) in the Southern Collective Forest Region of China[J]. Scientia Silvae Sinicae, 2014, 50(8): 131-140.

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南方集体林区林业经济增长的产业结构演变及其差异分析——基于13个省（区）1995—2011年的统计数据

Analysis on the Industrial Structure Evolutions and Its Differences of the Forest Economic Growth from 1995 to 2011 of 13 Provinces (Autonomous Regions) in the Southern Collective Forest Region of China

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