关键词: 国有林权制度改革, 造林抚育投资, 林下经济投资, Logistic模型

Abstract:

Logistic models were developed to explain investment on afforestation and management, and on developing understory economy respectively through a survey of 195 contract households participating in national forest property right system reform in Yichun city of Heilongjiang Province. Based on the two models, the key factors influencing subsequent management behavior of contract households were analyzed. The results showed that policy of forest right certification, site grade of forestland and regional dummy variable had significant influence on investment on afforestation and management, and on developing understory economy, and policy of forest management scheme and forestland rent, education level of householders, and familys monthearning had significant influence on investment on afforestation and management from contract householders while policy of cutting quota, distance from home to forestland, forestland area, sex and extra job of householders and timber production of forestry bureau had significant influence on investment on developing understory economy from contract householders. According to the results of regression analysis, a few suggestions were put forward. First, policies related to national forest property right system reform should be improved in time. Second, developing understory economy needs more support from government. Third, more attention should be paid by government to the comparison between the policy of charging forestland rent and exempting agricultural tax for contract householders.

Key words: national forest property right system reform, investment on afforestation and management, investment on developing understory economy, Logistic model