关键词: 黄淮海平原, 林业发展战略, 动态仿真

Abstract: The dynamic imitation model of forestry development strategy for Huang-Huai-Hai plain within shandong province was established from the points ofsystematical analysis and the coordinative development of agriculture, forestryand animal husbandry. It reveals the dynamic change of forest area, growing stock and cutting volume, and the enhance trand of ecological and economic benefits for a long or middle term. The best determination of forestrydevelopment strategy for this area can be elected among them, therefore thisstudy provides the scientific bases for working out a long or middle term fore-stry developmental implement plan, and for making management decision.

Key words: Huang-Huai-Hai plain, Strategy of forestry development, Dynamic imitation