全球气候变化与中国森林的预测问题

›› 1992, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (5): 431-438.

全球气候变化与中国森林的预测问题

蒋有绪

中国林业科学研究院林业研究所

收稿日期:1991-06-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:1992-09-25 发布日期:1992-09-25

THE PROBLEM OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE FORESTS IN CHINA

Jiang Youxu

Forestry Institute, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China

Received:1991-06-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:1992-09-25 Published:1992-09-25

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文以OSU模型和以GFDL、GISS、NCAR、OCU及UKMO等模型的综合分析对中国气候变化的预测为基础,讨论大约在2020年大气CO₂浓度两倍时对中国森林变化的预测途径。以杉木林的生长、产量和分布、大兴安岭寒温带林区的树种组成和生长,以及我国森林带的可能变迁为例进行了讨论。

关键词: 全球气候变化, 中国森林

Abstract: The climate change prediction in China based on OCU model as well as summary analysis of GFDL, GISS, NCAR, OCU and UKMO models are used for discussing the approaches to predict the response of the forests in China under double concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide after about 2020. The growth, production and distribution boundary of Chinese fir (Cunninghamia lanceolata), the tree composition and their growth in cold temperate Oaxingan Mountain region, and potential forest zones in China as examples are discussed in this paper.

Key words: Global climate change, Forests in China

蒋有绪. 全球气候变化与中国森林的预测问题[J]. , 1992, 28(5): 431-438.

Jiang Youxu. THE PROBLEM OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE FORESTS IN CHINA[J]. , 1992, 28(5): 431-438.

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