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林业科学 ›› 2018, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (8): 133-141.doi: 10.11707/j.1001-7488.20180815

• 论文与研究报告 • 上一篇    下一篇

CVM评价森林景区游憩价值的理论效度——以福州国家森林公园为例

丁振民, 黄秀娟, 朱佳佳   

  1. 福建农林大学管理学院(旅游学院) 福州 350002
  • 收稿日期:2016-10-26 修回日期:2017-02-10 出版日期:2018-08-25 发布日期:2018-08-18
  • 基金资助:
    福建省自然科学基金项目"CVM评价森林景区游憩价值的效度与信度研究"(K55150023A);福建农林大学2016年科技创新专项基金项目"基于CVM二分式调查方法的森林公园游憩价值评估"(KCXRC212A)。

Theoretical Validity of CVM on Assessment of the Recreation Value in Forest Scenic Areas: A Case Study of Fuzhou National Forest Park

Ding Zhenmin, Huang Xiujuan, Zhu Jiajia   

  1. College of Management, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University Fuzhou 350002
  • Received:2016-10-26 Revised:2017-02-10 Online:2018-08-25 Published:2018-08-18

摘要: [目的]以福州国家森林公园为例,检验CVM评价森林景区游憩价值的理论效度,为CVM评估中国森林景区游憩价值的适用性提供有效证据与调研方案。[方法]在有效性改进的基础上,运用多种回归模型对CVM评价森林景区的理论效度进行详细探讨。[结果]1)福州国家森林公园每年人均游憩价值为37.930元,总游憩价值为18 016.750万元,由于森林景区游憩价值构成相对单一,福州国家森林公园的游憩价值明显低于大型风景名胜区。2)CVM评价森林景区的理论效度良好,检验结果与经济学理论基本一致,且可以在现实生活中给予合理解释。无论剔除样本选择偏差时的支付意愿还是全样本的支付金额均受到收入水平的约束;由于存在奉承偏差,游客的支付金额比支付意愿更容易受到游客和评价对象特征的约束。城市居民相对于农村居民来说,较高的生活水平使得城市居民有较多的可供选择的高质量游憩替代品,导致对森林公园的支付意愿和支付水平较低。政府及事业单位人员的边际支付意愿表现最为强烈,同时边际支付金额也处于最高值,可能是最为真实支付意愿。退休人员由于受到收入限制,其边际支付意愿和支付金额相对其他人员均为负数;游客距离森林公园越远,对森林公园的支付意愿和支付金额越低。[结论]从理论效度来说,在有效性改进的基础上,可以将CVM引入到森林景区游憩价值评估中,但CVM其他效度的评价标准也应该充分考虑。

关键词: CVM, 森林景区, 游憩价值, 理论效度, Logit模型, Tobit模型

Abstract: [Objective] This paper aims to test the theoretical validity of CVM about evaluation of recreation value in forest scenic areas.[Method] The three regression models were established to study theoretical validity of CVM based on improvements in the effectiveness of experiment, which taking National Forest Park of Fuzhou as a case study.[Result] 1) The annual recreation mean value per person is 37.930 yuan and the total recreational value is 1.8 billion yuan in the National Forest Park of Fuzhou, which indicates that it is lower than large scenic spots in the recreational value, because of the structure of the scenic forest recreation value is relatively single. 2) The theoretical validity of CVM in the evaluation of forest scenic area is good. The result is consistent with the economic theory and it can give a reasonable explanation in real life. Whether eliminating sample selection bias of willingness to pay or for the full sample, the amounts of willing to pay are subjected to the constraints of the income level. Amounts of willingness of payment are easier constraints than the willingness to pay by the feature of tourists and evaluation object due to flattery deviation. Urban residents have better quality recreational alternatives for the higher life style, which results in a lower willingness to pay or amounts of payment. Marginal willingness and amounts of pay are the most strong among occupations which states clearly the most true willingness to pay probably about the persons in public sector. The marginal willingness and amounts of payment are negative compared with others; farther from the visitors from the forest park for retirees due to restrictions by the income. Tourists' willingness and amounts of pay decreases as the distance increasing from National Forest Park of Fuzhou.[Conclusion] The CVM can be introduced into the evaluation of recreation value about forest scenic spot based on the improvement of effectiveness in terms of theoretical validity, but the other criteria of validity for CVM should also be fully considered.

Key words: CVM, forest scenic area, recreational value, theoretical validity, Logit regression model, Tobit regression model

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