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Scientia Silvae Sinicae ›› 2020, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (5): 160-167.doi: 10.11707/j.1001-7488.20200518

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Population Structure and Dynamics of Vatica mangachapoi in Ganshiling, Hainan Island, China

Qi Shu1,Xuan Hu1,Ruijing Xu1,2,Ze Shang1,Lianghua Qi1,*   

  1. 1. International Centre for Bamboo and Rattan Beijing 100102
    2. National Positioning and Monitoring Station for Ecosystem of Bamboo and Rattan Associated Forest in Sanya, Hainan Sanya 572000
  • Received:2019-04-15 Online:2020-05-01 Published:2020-06-13
  • Contact: Lianghua Qi

Abstract:

Objective: To provide a theoretical basis for the protection,sustainable utilization and the formulation of restoration strategies of Vatica mangachapoi population,the structure and dynamics of V. mangachapoi population in Ganshiling,Hainan Island were studied,in order to elucidate the survival status and quantitative dynamics,and to reveal the patterns of regeneration. Methods: A field survey was carried out on V. mangachapoi population in sample plots in Ganshiling,Hainan Island. According to the characteristics of life history of the species and considering the results from previous researches,diameter,height and crown width were divided into classes and population structure was constructed using the classes. The static life table,survival curve,mortality curve,loss rate curve were produced using space to replace time which meant diameter structure instead of age structure. Four functions (survival,accumulated mortality,mortality density,and hazard rate) of survival analysis were used to analyze population dynamics of V. mangachapoi. Time series analysis method was used to predict the age structure of V. mangachapoi population. Results: The population of V. mangachapoi had complete structures of age,height,and crown width,showing the stable development and good regeneration potential. The static life table showed that there were large differences of number of survival trees among different classes. The rate of mortality and loss were both the highest in age class Ⅳ. The population of V. mangachapoi fitted type B1 of Deevey-Ⅱ. The changes of mortality and loss rate were in similar trends. Four survival curves showed that the population of V. mangachapoi was decline in every stage,suffering from competitive pressures in the middle period. The prediction by the time series analysis showed that the population of V. mangachapoi had a high ability to regenerate and quickly restore to the stable population structure. Conclusion: A large number of seedlings growing in the population of V. mangachapoi made them survive environmental elimination and competition pressure,enabling some individuals survive and grow into the next age class. However,in the middle and young age class,individuals occupy a certain space and environmental resources in the community,and the environmental stress and competition pressure increased substantially,only a few of individuals may grow into the later stage.

Key words: Vatica mangachapoi, population structure, static life table, survival analysis, prediction by time series analysis

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